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The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. Are they gross exaggerations? If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. Your email address will not be published. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Thats going to take a LONG time. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. dr ali binazir odds of being born. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? What are the odds of that? (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Love and the empowered woman: Dr. Ali Binazir at TEDxFiDiWomen So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. Maybe that one would have been better. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Scientists Calculate the Probability of Your Existence, Conclusions They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Why? Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Opportunity - livebendy.com That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. How fast does a laden fly fly? Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. The Probability of You Existing at All Is Unbelievably Low On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. what are the chances of being born in america Thank you, Monsignor. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Think of yourself as dead. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. The odds of being born - Lottoland Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Which one's bigger? This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! Based on the data from the CDC . On one try.. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. dr ali binazir odds of being born - dura-fog.com Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. That's 150,000 generations. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Part of HuffPost Wellness. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Dr. Ali Binazir - Something To Prove Post your query OR Review in below comment box. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Yet here we are. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom Step 1. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. The chances that they would then get knocked up? If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. Step 4. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. saving. But let's think about this some more. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Even if they couldn't read them yet. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Want to Read. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Then the probability of Mr.